⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
15:00
Yacoub El Mansour
vs
Hassania Agadir
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
98%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Yacoub El Mansour have a strong home record, with 1.3 goals scored per game. Hassania Agadir have struggled defensively, conceding 2.5 goals per game. The pi-ratings suggest Yacoub El Mansour are the stronger team. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, this match...
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
14:00
Pamba Jiji
vs
Mtibwa Sugar
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
97%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Pamba Jiji has a slight edge over Mtibwa Sugar due to home advantage. Mtibwa Sugar's poor form and high concession rate make them vulnerable. Pamba Jiji's recent performances show they can capitalize on this. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. 💡 Tip: Ov...
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
14:00
JKT Tanzania
vs
Tanzania Prisons
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
94%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
JKT Tanzania's recent form and home advantage give them an edge. Tanzania Prisons' poor form and high concession rate make them vulnerable. With a significant pi-rating differential, JKT Tanzania are likely to dominate. Their strong home record and Tanzania Prisons' struggles awa...
⚽ Pick #5
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
15:00
Renaissance Berkane
vs
Olympique Safi
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
92%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Renaissance Berkane has a strong home record with 2 goals scored per game, while Olympique Safi concedes 1.3 goals away. The home team's attacking threat is significant, but Olympique Safi's ability to score is also notable. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, t...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.