⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
18:00
CODM Meknès
vs
Hassania Agadir
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
87%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
CODM Meknès is in poor form, while Hassania Agadir has a high scoring rate. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is significant, with an average of 1.83 goals scored per game. However, their defensive strength is a concern, with no clean sheets in their last 6 matches. The key play...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
18:00
Renaissance Berkane
vs
FAR Rabat
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
86%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Renaissance Berkane has a strong home record with 2 goals scored per game. FAR Rabat has a lower away scoring rate. The pi-ratings suggest FAR Rabat is slightly stronger, but the home advantage could negate this. With a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability, this match is...
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
18:00
Kawkab Marrakech
vs
FUS Rabat
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
86%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
FUS Rabat's strong away form and high expected goals rate give them an edge. Kawkab Marrakech's attack is potent but their defense is vulnerable. With Hafidi's injury, Kawkab Marrakech's threat is reduced. FUS Rabat's clean sheet percentage is high but Kawkab Marrakech can still...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.