⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
50%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
1/2 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Ethiopia · Premier League
16:00
Fasil Ketema
vs
Ethiopian Medhin
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
84%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Fasil Ketema is in poor form, losing 3 of their last 5 matches, while Ethiopian Medhin has a strong record with 3 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 matches. Ethiopian Medhin's attacking threat, led by their key players, will be a challenge for Fasil Ketema's defense. The home team...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.